Delayed onset and early seasonal rainfall deficits worsen over eastern Horn
- Rainfall for the October to December season over the eastern Horn of Africa is significantly delayed and remains well below average over southern and southeastern Ethiopia, southern and central Somalia, and eastern and northeastern Kenya. Remote sensing products suggest pastoral conditions and vegetation conditions in marginal cropping areas are well below average.
- In western areas of the region such as Uganda, Burundi, Rwanda, and South Sudan seasonal rainfall performance has been generally favorable since mid-October, following either with either a timely or slightly delayed onset of season or dry spells in early to mid-October. However, there are some initial rainfall deficits around the Lake Victoria basin.
- Rainfall forecasts for the coming week (November 6-13) suggest rainfall is expected to improve in many areas of the eastern Horn of Africa during the next week, and heavy rainfall is expected over Burundi, Rwanda, and northern Tanzania. However, the week-two forecast (November 14-21) indicates much lighter and erratically distributed rainfall over the eastern Horn.
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